Evidence-Based Medicine

Research Appraisals

Evidence-based critical appraisals of the latest medical research, systematically evaluated using Oxford CEBM methodology.

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Systematic ReviewEvidence: Strong
85CEBM

Journal of neurology

Accuracy of muscle ultrasonography in detecting fasciculations for the diagnosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE: This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of muscle ultrasonography in detecting fasciculations for the diagnosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). METHODS: Following PRISMA-DTA guidelines, we systematically searched PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Ovid Medline, Sinomed, Web of Science, CNKI and VIP for studies published up to July 8, 2025 that evaluated muscle ultrasonography to detect fasciculations for ALS diagnosis. The study protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD420251057866). Studies were screened using predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria and data were extracted. Risk of bias was assessed with QUADAS-2. Statistical analyses (Stata 16.0 and R 4.5.1 with the "midas," "metandi," and "mada" packages) were used to calculate pooled sensitivity (Sen), specificity (Spe), positive likelihood ratio (LR+), negative likelihood ratio (LR-), and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR). We constructed forest plots, hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) curves, summary ROC (SROC) curves and calculated the area under the SROC curve (AUC). Univariate meta-regression and subgroup analyses explored sources of heterogeneity. Publication bias was assessed using Deeks' funnel plot asymmetry test. Fagan nomograms were also used to illustrate the changes from pre-test to post-test probability and to enhance clinical interpretability. RESULTS: Thirteen studies involving 1176 participants met the inclusion criteria. Muscle ultrasonography for fasciculation detection in ALS yielded a pooled sensitivity of 0.87 (95% CI 0.83-0.91) and specificity of 0.91 (95% CI 0.86-0.94). The pooled LR+ was 9.81 (95% CI 6.25-15.40) and LR- was 0.14 (95% CI 0.10-0.19), with a DOR of 70.03 (95% CI 41.72-117.56). The area under the SROC curve was 0.94 (95% CI 0.91-0.95). Meta-regression identified scan duration as a primary factor influencing diagnostic accuracy, with scan durations ≥ 30 s associated with higher sensitivity but relatively lower specificity. Deeks' funnel plot showed no significant asymmetry (p = 0.61), indicating no notable publication bias. Fagan nomograms showed that, at a pre-test probability of 30%, the post-test probability increased to 81% after a positive MUS result and decreased to 6% after a negative result. CONCLUSION: Muscle ultrasonography demonstrates good pooled diagnostic accuracy for detecting fasciculations in ALS and may serve as a useful adjunct to electrodiagnostic evaluation. Scan duration appears to significantly affect the diagnostic performance, with longer scanning improving sensitivity at the cost of reduced specificity. We speculate that prolonged scanning may be more useful in clinical scenarios where fasciculations are subtle or atypical, whereas shorter scanning may be sufficient when fasciculations are already readily apparent. Nevertheless, further large-scale prospective studies are needed to validate standardized scanning protocols and to better define the clinical role of MUS in ALS diagnostic pathways.

7 Apr 2026

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observationalEvidence: Strong
95CEBM

Neurology

Long-Term Exposure to Ambient Air Pollution and Incident Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis: A Prospective Cohort Analysis of the UK Biobank

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a neurodegenerative disease with a complex etiology. Although a range of genetic and lifestyle factors have been implicated, the potential role of environmental airborne pollution exposure is uncertain. This study examined the association between long-term ambient exposure to air pollutants and the incidence of ALS in UK Biobank participants. METHODS: This prospective cohort study was based on the UK Biobank participants aged 40-69 years. The analytical sample comprised participants free of ALS at baseline and had complete data on air pollution exposure. Long-term exposure (2006-2021) to nitrogen dioxide (NO2), nitrogen oxides (NOX), fine particulate matter (PM2.5; <2.5 µm), and coarse particulate matter (PM10; <10 µm) was assessed using data from the UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs at a spatial resolution of 1 × 1 km. To evaluate the association between these pollutants and ALS risk, we used multivariable time-varying Cox proportional hazards models. Several sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the results. We also examined for gene-environment interaction stratified by C9orf72 status and UNC13A genotype. RESULTS: Among the 501,308 participants with a mean age of 56.5 (SD 8.1) years at baseline, 272,764 (54.4%) were female. Over a median follow-up of 8.4 years, 687 individuals developed ALS. We did not observe any associations for any of the examined pollutants and ALS risk. Specifically, the hazard ratios per SD increment for PM10, PM2.5, NOX, and NO2 were 1.03 (95% CI 0.92-1.15), 1.00 (95% CI 0.88-1.14), 1.01 (95% CI 0.90-1.13), and 1.00 (95% CI 0.89-1.12), respectively. Individuals living in areas with the highest tertile of air pollutant exposure, compared with those in the lowest tertile, did not show a higher risk of ALS across any of the pollutants examined (p for trend >0.05). Restricted cubic spline analyses revealed no nonlinear associations between air pollution and ALS risk (all p for nonlinearity >0.05). These results remained robust in various subgroup and sensitivity analyses. No evidence of gene-environment interaction was found. DISCUSSION: In this large population-based study with high statistical power, ambient air pollution was not a risk factor for the development of ALS.

5 Apr 2026

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