Evidence-Based Medicine

Research Appraisals

Evidence-based critical appraisals of the latest medical research, systematically evaluated using Oxford CEBM methodology.

Showing 4 appraisals

observationalEvidence: Weak
40CEBM

Neuropsychologia

Reading between the lines: Combining pause dynamics and semantic coherence for automated assessment of thought disorder.

Formal thought disorder (FTD), a hallmark of schizophrenia spectrum disorders, manifests as incoherent speech and poses challenges for clinical assessment. Traditional clinical rating scales, though validated, are resource-intensive and lack scalability. Automated speech recognition (ASR) allows for objective quantification of linguistic and temporal features of speech, offering scalable alternatives. Furthermore, ASR-derived utterance timestamps provide access to pause dynamics, which are thought to reflect the cognitive processes underlying speech production. Yet, their added value beyond semantic measures remains insufficiently explored. In this study, we evaluated a scalable multimodal framework that integrates pause features with semantic coherence metrics across three datasets: naturalistic self-recorded diaries (AVH, n = 140 participants), structured picture descriptions (TOPSY, n = 72 participants), and dream narratives (PsyCL, n = 43 participants). Pause-related features were evaluated alongside established coherence measures using support vector regression (SVR) to predict clinical FTD scores. Models using pause features alone robustly predict manually rated FTD severity consistently across datasets. Integrating pause features with semantic coherence metrics enhanced predictive performance compared to coherence-only models, with late fusion yielding the most robust and consistent gains in all three datasets. On average across datasets, Spearman correlation increased from ρ = 0.413 for semantic-only models to ρ = 0.455 with late fusion. The performance gains from semantic and pause features integration held consistently across all contexts, though the nature of the most informative pause patterns was dataset-dependent. These findings suggest that both pause dynamics and semantic coherence reflect complementary aspects of thought disorganization. Our integration framework provides a scalable approach for refining the assessment of disorganized speech to advance automated speech analysis in psychosis.

29 July 2026

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Randomised Controlled TrialEvidence: Moderate
75CEBM

Journal of affective disorders

Right orbitofrontal cortex rTMS targets anxiety, not depressive, symptoms in first-episode schizophrenia.

BACKGROUND: Anxiety is highly prevalent and undertreated in first-episode schizophrenia(FES), but repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation(rTMS) data for this comorbidity are scarce. The orbitofrontal cortex(OFC) is a key anxiety-regulating node, supporting its potential as a target. This study aimed to explore 1-Hz right OFC-rTMS's symptom-specific effects on FES mood. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial. Participants were drug-naive FES patients randomized to the active rTMS group(n = 51) or sham group(n = 45). All completed 20 intervention sessions, 20 sessions of active OFC-rTMS or sham, with 4-week follow-up, initiating oral olanzapine(10-20 mg/day) concurrently with the first rTMS session. Mood symptoms were assessed using the 24-item Hamilton Depression Rating Scale(HAMD) and the 14-item Hamilton Anxiety Rating Scale(HAMA). Psychopathological symptoms were assessed using the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale(PANSS). The main outcome was the changes in HAMD and HAMA scores from baseline to 2 weeks and 4 weeks. RESULTS: The active group showed greater PANSS total(t = -3.260, p = 0.002; Cohen's d = 0.672) and subscale improvements vs. the sham group. Repeated-measures ANOVA(controlling for covariates) revealed significant Time×Group interactions for HAMA total(F = 4.698, p = 0.010; partial η2 = 0.059) and psychic anxiety(F = 5.735, p = 0.004; partial η2 = 0.072), but not somatic anxiety. For HAMD, only anxiety/somatization(F = 8.397, p = 0.031; partial η2 = 0.099) and cognitive impairment(F = 6.240, p = 0.002; partial η2 = 0.076) showed interactions, with no specific effects on overall depressive symptoms. In the sham group, HAMD anxiety/somatization correlated with all PANSS subscales(r = 0.311-0.477, p < 0.05), but this correlation was absent in the active group(all p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Right OFC-rTMS improves FES anxiety (not depression), supporting it as a targeted non-pharmacological option.

17 May 2026

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observationalEvidence: Moderate
90CEBM

Biological psychiatry

From Snapshots to Stable Outcomes: Resting-State Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Based Prognosis of Functioning in Patients With Psychosis Risk or Recent-Onset Depression

BACKGROUND: Early recovery of functioning is critical for favorable outcomes in psychotic and affective disorders. Transdiagnostic brain activity patterns may capture pathways for poor outcomes before clinical manifestation, thereby supporting timely prevention and intervention. METHODS: Using machine learning, we evaluated the transdiagnostic prognostic value of resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging fractional amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations (fALFF) (slow-5 and slow-4 sub-bands) for functional outcomes in patients at clinical high risk for psychosis (n = 217) or with recent-onset depression (n = 198) from the multisite PRONIA (Prognostic Tools for Early Psychosis Management) study. Leave-site-out cross-validation assessed the geographic generalizability of models across disability and symptom domains, with outcomes defined as snapshots at 9- or 18-month follow-up or across both time points. We examined diagnosis-specific performance, generalization to recent-onset psychosis (n = 140), and negative symptoms and the added value of fALFF over clinical prognostication. RESULTS: Transdiagnostic models predicting stable good functioning across follow-ups showed up to 10% higher balanced accuracy (BAC) than snapshot models. Decreased slow-5 fALFFs in the default mode network, executive control network (ECN), and dorsal attentional network (DAN) and increased fALFF in the salience network, ECN, and DAN predicted impairment with BAC = 67% (sensitivity = 65%, specificity = 70%, p < .001). This model generalized to recent-onset psychosis (BAC = 62%, sensitivity = 64%, specificity = 59%, p < .001) and predicted (BAC = 65%, sensitivity = 66%, specificity = 65%, p < .001) and was mediated by negative symptoms. Slow-5-based models improved prognostic accuracy over expert ratings in disability (BACraters = 66%, BACraters+slow-5 = 75%, W = 1680, p < .001) and symptom (BACraters = 61%, BACraters+slow-5 = 71%, W = 1444, p < .001) domains. CONCLUSIONS: We highlighted the prognostic value of fALFF for functional impairment in psychosis risk and early depression. Leveraging trajectorial information, we identified candidate imaging biomarkers to improve prognostication, thereby supporting personalized prevention and recovery strategies.

16 Apr 2026

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Systematic ReviewEvidence: Weak
60CEBM

Psychological medicine

Inflammatory cytokine alterations in genetic and clinical high risk groups of psychosis: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND: Inflammation has been implicated in psychosis, but its role in individuals at clinical (CHR) and genetic (GHR) high-risk remains unclear. We therefore conducted a network meta-analysis (NMA) to compare circulating cytokine levels across CHR, GHR, and healthy control (HC) groups. METHODS: We systematically searched multiple databases up to February 2025, extracting cytokine levels (plasma/serum) from CHR, GHR, and HC groups. Standardized mean differences (SMDs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using random-effects models. Given that no direct head-to-head comparisons between CHR and GHR were available, indirect comparisons were performed through the common comparator (HC). The transitivity assumption was assessed by comparing key study and participant characteristics across comparisons. RESULTS: Thirty studies were included (CHR: 1601, GHR: 675, HC: 1980). NMA estimates indicated higher IL-6 levels in CHR compared with GHR, while IL-6 and IL-1β levels were lower in GHR compared with HC. In pairwise subgroup analyses, CHR converters showed higher IL-13 levels than non-converters. The evidence network was sparse and star-shaped, with all CHR-GHR estimates relying exclusively on indirect comparisons. CONCLUSIONS: This study represents the first NMA to synthesize cytokine alterations in individuals at high risk for psychosis using indirect evidence. Elevated IL-6 in CHR individuals suggests immune activation, whereas reduced IL-6 in GHR may reflect a distinct immune profile. Increased IL-13 levels in converters highlight potential involvement of Th2-related pathways during transition to psychosis. However, the sparse nature of the evidence network necessitates cautious interpretation of the findings, and larger, standardized multi-center studies are required for confirmation.

11 Apr 2026

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