Research AppraisalRandomised Controlled Trial

Venous thromboembolism and bleeding in cancer patients: role of inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers.

European heart journalRoy, Danielle Carole, Wang, Tzu-Fei, Mallick, Ranjeeta et al.22 Apr 2026DOI

Clinical Snapshot

75CEBM
Evidence: ModerateRandomised Controlled Trial

PICO Framework

P — PopulationAmbulatory cancer patients with Khorana score ≥2 from the AVERT trial (n=574, with 514 providing baseline samples)
I — InterventionMeasurement of inflammatory biomarkers (C-reactive protein, growth differentiation factor-15) and cardiac biomarkers (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity troponin T)
C — ComparatorBaseline biomarker levels compared to follow-up measurements at 1 and 3 months
O — OutcomesPrimary: venous thromboembolism (VTE) and clinically relevant bleeding events. Secondary: development of nomograms for risk prediction

Bottom Line

This post hoc analysis of the AVERT trial identifies specific inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers that may help predict VTE and bleeding risks in ambulatory cancer patients. Growth differentiation factor-15 and rising troponin T levels were associated with increased VTE risk, while NT-proBNP and C-reactive protein predicted bleeding complications. The developed nomograms could potentially enhance risk stratification beyond the standard Khorana score, helping clinicians make more informed decisions about thromboprophylaxis in cancer patients. However, the post hoc nature of the analysis and missing methodological details limit the strength of recommendations. The modest effect sizes and confidence intervals close to unity suggest these biomarkers provide incremental rather than transformative risk prediction. Prospective validation studies are essential before clinical implementation, particularly to establish cost-effectiveness and optimal cut-off values for Australian healthcare settings.

Evidence: Moderate

Key Findings

  • P Value: Not explicitly reported in abstract

  • Effect Size: Subdistribution hazard ratios ranging from 1.36 to 1.89 for significant associations

  • Primary Outcome: VTE risk increased with elevated baseline GDF-15 (SHR 1.36, 95% CI 1.01-1.84) and rising hs-TnT levels (SHR 1.89, 95% CI 1.14-3.16). Bleeding risk increased with elevated NT-proBNP (SHR 1.44, 95% CI 1.08-1.92) and CRP (SHR 1.38, 95% CI 1.07-1.76)

  • Nnt Or Sensitivity: Nomograms developed for risk prediction, but specific predictive performance metrics not provided in abstract

  • Confidence Interval: All significant results had 95% CIs excluding 1.0, with lower bounds close to unity

Clinical Application

Biomarkers are routinely available in Australian laboratories, though cost-effectiveness of systematic testing requires evaluation Relevant to Australian oncology practice where VTE prevention in cancer patients follows international guidelines. Biomarker testing would need TGA-approved assays and potential PBS consideration for cost-effective implementation Ambulatory cancer patients with intermediate-to-high VTE risk (Khorana score ≥2) being considered for thromboprophylaxis

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with cancer have increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) and bleeding. Inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers may predict these complications, but their role remains unclear. This study examined associations between two inflammatory-related markers (C-reactive protein and growth differentiation factor-15) and two cardiac markers [N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT)] with VTE and clinically relevant bleeding in cancer patients. METHODS: A post hoc analysis of the AVERT trial, which evaluated apixaban for VTE prevention in ambulatory cancer patients with a Khorana score of ≥2, was performed. Biomarkers were measured at baseline and 1 month, with C-reactive protein also at 3 months. Fine and Gray regression, accounting for competing risk of death and adjusted for age and advanced cancer, estimated subdistribution hazard ratios (SHRs) for VTE and clinically relevant bleeding. RESULTS: Of 574 patients, 514 provided baseline samples. One- and 3-month samples were available from 454 and 447, and 378 and 364, patients without prior VTE and bleeding events, respectively. Elevated baseline growth differentiation factor-15 was associated with increased VTE risk [SHR 1.36, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.84]. N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (SHR 1.44, 95% CI 1.08-1.92) and C-reactive protein (SHR 1.38, 95% CI 1.07-1.76) were linked to bleeding risk. Increasing high-sensitivity troponin T from baseline to 1 month was associated with higher VTE risk (SHR 1.89, 95% CI 1.14-3.16). Nomograms were developed to estimate VTE and clinically relevant bleeding risks. CONCLUSIONS: Select inflammatory-related and cardiac markers were associated with VTE and bleeding risks in cancer patients, which can be determined using developed nomograms. Prospective research is needed to confirm these findings.

References

  1. 1.Roy, D. C., Wang, T. F., Mallick, R., Burger, D., Carrier, M., Wells, P., & Hawken, S. (2026). Venous thromboembolism and bleeding in cancer patients: role of inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers. European Heart Journal. https://doi.org/10.1002/cncr.27772
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