Research Appraisaldiagnostic

Raman spectroscopy with machine-learning classification for the prediction of stereotactic radiotherapy induced treatment toxicity in high-risk localised prostate cancer

Spectrochimica acta. Part A, Molecular and biomolecular spectroscopyMonaghan, Jade F, Cullen, Daniel, Medipally, Dinesh K R et al.5 May 2026DOI

Clinical Snapshot

55CEBM
Evidence: Weakdiagnostic

PICO Framework

P — PopulationHigh-risk localised prostate cancer patients receiving stereotactic radiotherapy (n=20-21 across timepoints)
I — InterventionRaman spectroscopy analysis of peripheral lymphocytes and plasma at multiple timepoints
C — ComparatorBiochemical profiles between patients with grade 0-1 versus grade 2+ late toxicity
O — OutcomesPrediction of late radiotherapy toxicity using spectroscopic biomarkers with machine learning classification

Bottom Line

This proof-of-concept study explores Raman spectroscopy for predicting radiotherapy toxicity in prostate cancer patients. While the technology shows promise with reasonable AUC values (0.88-0.93), the study is severely limited by its tiny sample size, particularly only 4 patients with grade 2+ toxicity. The lack of sensitivity/specificity data and confidence intervals makes clinical interpretation difficult. The severe class imbalance raises concerns about overfitting and generalisability. Although the approach is innovative and addresses an important clinical need, much larger validation studies with proper diagnostic accuracy reporting are essential before considering clinical implementation. The technology remains experimental and far from routine clinical use.

Evidence: Weak

Key Findings

  • P Value: p < 0.05 for biochemical concentration differences

  • Effect Size: AUC values 0.88-0.93 for treatment timepoint classification

  • Primary Outcome: Prediction of late radiotherapy toxicity using Raman spectroscopy

  • Nnt Or Sensitivity: F1 scores: 0.74 (lymphocytes) and 0.69 (plasma) for toxicity prediction

  • Confidence Interval: Not reported

Clinical Application

Limited by requirement for specialised Raman spectroscopy equipment and expertise Relevant to Australian radiation oncology practice; stereotactic radiotherapy increasingly available through public and private sectors; would require TGA approval for clinical implementation High-risk localised prostate cancer patients receiving stereotactic radiotherapy

Abstract

Radiotherapy can lead to late-onset toxicity, to varying extents between individuals due to differences in radiosensitivity. Predicting which patients are most at risk is key to augmenting the therapeutic window. However, the underlying biological mechanisms remain poorly understood, and current experimental methods often lack clinical applicability. This study employs Raman spectroscopy to analyse biochemical profiles in peripheral lymphocytes and plasma, aiming to monitor radiotherapeutic response and predict intrinsic radiosensitivity in high-risk localised prostate cancer patients treated with stereotactic radiotherapy. Partial-least squares discriminant analysis classification of Raman spectra at baseline (n = 20) from post-hormone therapy (n = 19), mid-treatment (pre-4th fraction; n = 21) and 3-months after treatment (n = 18) returned mean area under the curve values ranging from 0.88 to 0.93. Ensemble classifiers applied to imbalanced late toxicity datasets (grade 0-1, n = 16; grade 2+, n = 4) yielded mean F1 scores of 0.74 (random forest, lymphocytes) and 0.69 (AdaBoost, plasma); metrics based on best performing model for minority-class. Classical least squares lymphocyte and plasma toxicity models identified major concentration differences in amino acids, proteins, lipids, DNA and related biomolecules (p < 0.05). These findings demonstrate the potential of Raman spectroscopy as a minimally invasive, objective tool for classifying blood-based biochemical profiles across radiotherapy treatment time points and distinguishing patients with late grade 0-1 and grade 2+ toxicity.

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