Research Appraisalother

Predicting treatment response in psychosis using fMRI: A comprehensive review

Journal of psychiatric researchSerio, Francesca, Sampaio, Inês Won, Maggioni, Eleonora et al.1 May 2026DOI

Clinical Snapshot

55CEBM
Evidence: Weakother

PICO Framework

P — PopulationPatients with psychosis and schizophrenia
I — InterventionFunctional MRI (fMRI) measures and machine learning algorithms
C — ComparatorNot applicable (review study)
O — OutcomesPharmacological treatment response prediction accuracy

Bottom Line

This comprehensive review examines fMRI's potential for predicting treatment response in psychosis, identifying promising patterns in brain networks including the default mode, salience, and central executive networks. While machine learning approaches show promise for enhancing prediction accuracy, the evidence remains preliminary. The review highlights altered connectivity patterns that may inform personalized treatment strategies, but acknowledges significant limitations in current research. The authors appropriately conclude that more robust, generalizable models are needed before clinical implementation. For Australian clinicians, this represents an emerging area of research rather than ready-for-practice technology, requiring continued monitoring of developments in precision psychiatry approaches.

Evidence: Weak

Key Findings

  • Effect Size: Not quantified - qualitative review

  • Primary Outcome: fMRI measures can predict pharmacological treatment response in psychosis

  • Nnt Or Sensitivity: Prediction accuracy enhanced by machine learning techniques but specific values not provided

  • Confidence Interval: Not reported

Clinical Application

Limited by need for specialized fMRI facilities and expertise in neuroimaging analysis Relevant to Australian mental health services with access to advanced neuroimaging, though implementation would require significant infrastructure investment and training Patients with psychosis and schizophrenia requiring pharmacological treatment

Abstract

In recent years, the use of functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) methods to predict treatment response in schizophrenia (SCZ) through statistical and machine learning (ML) algorithms has increased. We conducted a comprehensive literature review to assess the role of various fMRI measures in predicting pharmacological treatment response in psychosis. Literature available on PubMed from January 1990 to December 2023 was reviewed, and 21 fMRI studies were included. The results suggest that many studies have employed ML techniques, which may enhance the accuracy of treatment outcome predictions. Additionally, several studies utilizing resting-state fMRI have identified potential associations of functional connectivity patterns across multiple large-scale networks, including the default mode network (DMN), the salience network (SN), the central executive network (CEN), and sensory-motor circuits. These findings suggest that altered connectivity within and between these networks may be relevant for personalized treatment strategies in patients with psychosis, although further investigation is needed to confirm their predictive value. Future research should focus on developing robust and generalizable models to more reliably optimize treatment outcomes in psychosis.

References

  1. 1.Serio, F., Sampaio, I. W., Maggioni, E., D'Agostino, A., Brambilla, P., & Del Fabro, L. (2026). Predicting treatment response in psychosis using fMRI: A comprehensive review. Journal of Psychiatric Research, 126, Article 058. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpsychires.2026.01.058
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