Research Appraisaldiagnostic

Performance of GPT-based large language models in hepatocellular carcinoma stratification: liver function assessment, BCLC staging, and treatment recommendations.

Scientific reportsMasthoff, Max, Zipser, Amelie, Praktiknjo, Michael et al.12 June 2026DOI

Clinical Snapshot

70CEBM
Evidence: Moderatediagnostic

PICO Framework

P — Population106 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (82% male, median age 65 years, range 22-86)
I — InterventionFour GPT-based large language model versions (4, o1, o3, 5.4) with short and long instruction prompts
C — ComparatorExpert consensus and multidisciplinary tumor board decisions
O — OutcomesAccuracy of liver function assessment (MELD, ALBI, Child-Pugh scores), BCLC staging accuracy, treatment recommendation concordance, processing time, and cost analysis

Bottom Line

This diagnostic accuracy study evaluated GPT-based large language models for hepatocellular carcinoma assessment in 106 patients. While the models achieved high accuracy (>85%) for liver function calculations and up to 90.6% for treatment recommendations, BCLC staging accuracy varied considerably (46.2-84.0%). The reasoning-optimized models (o1, o3) performed best overall. Despite significant time and cost advantages over clinical staff, the non-negligible error rates necessitate expert supervision. The study lacks crucial diagnostic accuracy metrics (sensitivity, specificity, confidence intervals) limiting clinical interpretation. While promising as decision-support tools, these models require further validation and regulatory approval before clinical implementation. The technology shows potential for enhancing multidisciplinary HCC workflows but cannot replace clinical expertise.

Evidence: Moderate

Key Findings

  • P Value: Not reported

  • Effect Size: Liver function assessment accuracy >85% all versions; BCLC staging 46.2-84.0%; treatment recommendations up to 90.6% overall accuracy

  • Primary Outcome: Accuracy of GPT-based LLM performance in HCC assessment tasks

  • Nnt Or Sensitivity: BCLC staging sensitivity ranged from 46.2% (GPT-4) to 84.0% (GPT-o3)

  • Confidence Interval: Not reported

Clinical Application

Technically feasible with significant time and cost savings, but requires expert oversight due to error rates Would require TGA evaluation for clinical use; potential integration with existing multidisciplinary team workflows; cost savings relevant to PBS efficiency initiatives Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma requiring staging and treatment planning in multidisciplinary settings

Abstract

Large language models (LLMs) like GPT have been proposed to support complex clinical decision-making. This study evaluated the performance of GPT-based LLM in analyzing clinical, radiological, and laboratory data from patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to assess liver function, assign BCLC stage, and recommend treatment. Data from 106 HCC patients (82% male, median age 65 [22-86]) were compiled into anonymized integrated reports. Four GPT-versions (4, o1, o3, 5.4) were prompted-using both short and long instructions-to calculate MELD, ALBI, and Child-Pugh scores, assign BCLC stage, and generate treatment recommendations based on current guidelines. Outputs were compared to expert consensus and tumor board decisions. Errors were categorized by type and source. Time and cost analyses compared GPT to clinical staff. All GPT versions achieved high accuracy (> 85%) in liver function assessment, with MELD calculation being the most error-prone. BCLC staging accuracy ranged from 46.2% (version 4) to 84.0% (o3), with misclassification of radiological reports as the main error source. Reasoning-optimized models (o1, o3) performed best for treatment recommendations, achieving an overall accuracy (correct suggestions and acceptable alternatives) of up to 90.6%. In 9-14% of cases, GPT suggestions were retrospectively more guideline-concordant than tumor board decisions. GPT processing was significantly faster and reduced costs by approximately 300- to 1300-fold compared to clinical staff. GPT-based LLMs show potential as decision-support tools for liver function assessment, BCLC staging, and treatment guidance in HCC. Particularly with reasoning-optimized models and detailed prompting, LLMs may serve as valuable adjuncts in multidisciplinary HCC workflows. However, a non-negligible error rate requires expert oversight and further model refinement.

References

  1. 1.Masthoff, M., Zipser, A., Praktiknjo, M., Trebicka, J., Morgül, H., Pascher, A., Pöhler, G., Köhler, M., & Schindler, P. (2026). Performance of GPT-based large language models in hepatocellular carcinoma stratification: liver function assessment, BCLC staging, and treatment recommendations. Scientific Reports. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2589-7500(23)00083-3
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