Research AppraisalRandomised Controlled Trial

Oxygen therapy for children with an oxygen saturation of 90-93% in Malawi: the NoGoLO2 pilot randomised controlled trial

BMJ paediatrics openJoseph, Kristen S, Mvalo, Tisungane, Shilkofski, Nicole et al.3 Apr 2026DOI

Clinical Snapshot

60CEBM
Evidence: ModerateRandomised Controlled Trial

PICO Framework

P — PopulationChildren aged 1-59 months with WHO-defined pneumonia and SpO2 of 90-93% in Malawi
I — InterventionLow-flow nasal cannula (LFNC) or high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) oxygen therapy
C — ComparatorStandard care (no oxygen therapy)
O — OutcomesPrimary: feasibility (≤2 protocol deviations per participant); Secondary: consent refusal, attrition, treatment failure within 14 days

Bottom Line

This pilot RCT demonstrates the feasibility of conducting a three-arm trial comparing oxygen therapy approaches for children with pneumonia and SpO2 90-93% in Malawi. While the study successfully met its feasibility endpoints with minimal protocol deviations and complete follow-up, the small sample size (n=21) and pilot design limit clinical conclusions. The 14.3% treatment failure rate suggests this patient population may benefit from intervention, but definitive efficacy data are needed. The study addresses an important clinical gap, as current WHO guidelines recommend oxygen only for SpO2 <90%, yet children with SpO2 90-93% in low-resource settings face increased mortality risk. Protocol deviations related to medication availability highlight implementation challenges in resource-limited settings. This work provides essential groundwork for a larger definitive trial that could inform international paediatric pneumonia management guidelines, particularly relevant for clinicians working in global health contexts.

Evidence: Moderate

Key Findings

  • P Value: Not reported

  • Effect Size: Not applicable - feasibility study

  • Primary Outcome: Feasibility achieved with 0.8 protocol deviations per participant (target ≤2)

  • Nnt Or Sensitivity: Treatment failure rate: 14.3% (3/21 participants)

  • Confidence Interval: Not reported

Clinical Application

Demonstrates feasibility for larger definitive trial; oxygen delivery systems appear implementable in district hospital setting Limited direct applicability to Australian practice where oxygen therapy protocols and resources differ significantly; may inform humanitarian or international development work Children 1-59 months with pneumonia and borderline hypoxaemia (SpO2 90-93%) in resource-limited settings

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Oxygen is a cornerstone treatment for pneumonia with hypoxaemia. WHO guidelines recommend oxygen therapy for children with a peripheral arterial haemoglobin oxygen saturation (SpO2) <90%. Children in low- and middle-income countries with an SpO2 of 90-93% are at increased risk of mortality and may benefit from oxygen therapy. We aimed to determine the feasibility of a randomised controlled trial comparing standard of care (no oxygen), low-flow nasal cannula (LFNC) and high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) among children with pneumonia and an SpO2 of 90-93%. DESIGN: Pilot, open-label, three-armed randomised control trial (NCT06176664). SETTING: Salima District Hospital, Malawi. PATIENTS: Children 1-59 months old with WHO-defined pneumonia and an SpO2 of 90-93%. INTERVENTIONS: Standard care (no oxygen), LFNC or HFNC. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was feasibility defined as an average of ≤2 protocol deviations per participant. Secondary outcomes included consent refusal, participant attrition and treatment failure within 14 days. Treatment failure was defined as an SpO2 <90% for standard care participants or <94% in the LFNC and HFNC arms despite maximum therapy as described, any new severe respiratory distress (grunting, very severe chest indrawing) or any new WHO-defined emergency sign. RESULTS: Of the 29 eligible patients, 21 (72%) were enrolled and randomised. There was an average of 0.8 (16/21) deviations per participant. Seven (43.8%) protocol violations were related to study intervention protocols and nine (56.3%) to medication availability and routine care. No participants withdrew from the study. Three of 21 participants (14.3%) had treatment failure. All participants were successfully followed to obtain the 14-day outcome. CONCLUSIONS: A three-armed, open-label randomised control trial is feasible to compare standard of care, LFNC and HFNC oxygen for children with pneumonia and an SpO2 of 90-93% in Malawi. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT06176664.

References

  1. 1.Joseph, K. S., Mvalo, T., Shilkofski, N., Colbourn, T., Schuh, H., van der Zalm, M. M., Howie, S., King, C., & McCollum, E. D. (2026). Oxygen therapy for children with an oxygen saturation of 90-93% in Malawi: the NoGoLO2 pilot randomised controlled trial. BMJ Paediatrics Open. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjpo-2025-004256
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