Research Appraisalother

Optimizing LSTM networks and feature selection algorithms using GEE data

PloS oneKazemi, Mohammad, Samani, Reza Naderi, Kariminejad, NargesDOI

Clinical Snapshot

80CEBM
Evidence: Moderateother

PICO Framework

P — PopulationFlood-prone areas in Khuzestan Province, Iran (1,000 sample points: 500 flood and 500 non-flood locations)
I — InterventionLSTM deep learning model optimized with metaheuristic algorithms (WOA, GWO, OOA, CSA, HOA) using consensus feature selection from 9 methods
C — ComparatorNon-optimized LSTM model and individual feature selection methods
O — OutcomesFlood susceptibility mapping accuracy (F1-Score, Cohen's Kappa), identification of high-risk areas

Bottom Line

This methodological study presents a sophisticated approach to flood susceptibility mapping by combining ensemble feature selection with metaheuristic-optimized deep learning. The LSTM-WOA model achieved strong predictive performance (F1-Score 0.88, Kappa 0.75) using NDVI and minimum temperature as key predictors. While the technical innovation is noteworthy, the study's practical application is limited by unclear generalizability beyond the Iranian study region and lack of uncertainty quantification. The methodology could benefit disaster risk management in similar arid/semi-arid environments, but implementation requires significant technical expertise. Australian emergency services could adapt this approach for flood-prone regions, particularly when integrated with local meteorological and satellite data systems. However, validation in Australian contexts would be essential before operational deployment.

Evidence: Moderate

Key Findings

  • P Value: Not reported

  • Effect Size: F1-Score improvement to 0.88 with LSTM-WOA optimization

  • Primary Outcome: Flood susceptibility mapping accuracy using optimized LSTM model

  • Nnt Or Sensitivity: Cohen's Kappa 0.75 indicating substantial agreement between predicted and actual flood susceptibility

  • Confidence Interval: Not reported

Clinical Application

Requires technical expertise in machine learning and access to satellite data, but methodology is reproducible Relevant for Australian flood-prone regions, particularly in arid/semi-arid areas. Could inform Bureau of Meteorology flood forecasting and state emergency service planning. Integration with Australian Water Resources Information System (AWRIS) data possible. Emergency management agencies, urban planners, and disaster risk reduction professionals in flood-prone regions

Abstract

Feature selection uncertainty and suboptimal model configuration in flood susceptibility mapping (FSM) are critical challenges for disaster risk reduction. This study introduces a novel integrated framework that couples feature selection strategy with metaheuristic-optimized deep learning for high-precision FSM in the flood-prone Khuzestan Province, Iran. An initial set of 19 factors was sourced from Google Earth Engine (GEE). The most influential variables were identified using an ensemble of nine feature selection methods, including Boruta, Boruta-SHAP, Elastic-Net, Mutual Information, Permutation Importance, Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE), Sequential Forward Selection (SFS), Stability Selection, and Deep Feature Importance. For model development, 1,000 sample points were used, consisting of 500 randomly selected non-flood points (value 0) and 500 flood points (value 1), with the trained model subsequently generalized to the entire study area. In this process, a frequency-based consensus rule was applied, whereby variables were retained only if selected by a majority of methods. This process established the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Daily Minimum Temperature (TMMN) as the most critical predictors. A Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) was developed using this optimal feature set and subsequently enhanced through hyperparameter optimization with five advanced metaheuristic algorithms, including WOA, GWO, OOA, CSA, and HOA. The model validation demonstrated that optimization significantly boosted performance, with the LSTM-WOA model emerging as superior, achieving the highest F1-Score (0.88) and Cohen's Kappa (0.75). The final FSM identified the northwestern and central regions as the highest susceptibility. The study innovation lies in its formalized consensus feature selection and comparative metaheuristic optimization, providing a reliable tool for FSM in arid and semi-arid regions.

References

  1. 1.Kazemi, M., Samani, R. N., & Kariminejad, N. (2026). Optimizing LSTM networks and feature selection algorithms using GEE data. PLoS One. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0347858
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