Intervention components, training dose, and adherence in exercise-based prevention of hamstring strain injury in football: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Clinical Snapshot
PICO Framework
| P — Population | Football players (soccer) of all levels including elite, semi-professional, and amateur participants |
| I — Intervention | Exercise-based hamstring strain injury prevention programmes |
| C — Comparator | Usual practice or standard warm-up routines |
| O — Outcomes | Hamstring strain injury incidence, with subgroup analyses examining training dose, adherence rates, and intervention duration |
Bottom Line
This meta-analysis of 15 trials demonstrates that exercise-based prevention programmes can halve hamstring strain injury risk in football players, but only when adherence exceeds 75%. The absolute benefit is modest (38 fewer injuries per 1000 participants), and effects vary significantly between studies. Shorter interventions (1-6 months) appear more effective than longer programmes, and benefits are greater in elite players compared to amateur participants. However, the authors acknowledge low certainty of evidence and substantial heterogeneity between studies. Clinicians should focus on strategies that maximise adherence rather than specific programme components, as the evidence is insufficient to recommend particular exercise types. The prediction interval crossing the null suggests that some populations may not benefit, emphasising the need for individualised approaches and careful monitoring of implementation success.
Key Findings
P Value: Not explicitly reported but CI excludes null
Effect Size: Risk ratio 0.51 (49% relative risk reduction)
Primary Outcome: Hamstring strain injury incidence
Nnt Or Sensitivity: Number needed to treat = 26 (based on 3.8% absolute risk reduction)
Confidence Interval: 95% CI 0.36-0.71
Clinical Application
Implementation requires sustained adherence (≥75%) for meaningful benefit; shorter programmes (1-6 months) may be more effective than longer interventions Relevant to Australian football codes and sports medicine practice; aligns with Sports Medicine Australia injury prevention guidelines and could inform Football Australia player welfare initiatives Football players at all levels, with stronger effects observed in elite/semi-professional players and shorter intervention periods
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To quantify associations between exercise-based prevention programmes and hamstring strain injury (HSI) risk in football participants, and whether training dose and adherence modify effects. METHODS: Six databases were searched to 1 October 2025. Randomised and cluster-randomised trials comparing HSI prevention programmes with usual practice or warm-up in football participants were included. Random-effects meta-analysis pooled risk ratios (RRs); subgroup analyses and meta-regression assessed effect modification. RESULTS: Fifteen trials (n = 7,465) were analysed. Programmes reduced HSI risk (RR = 0.51, 95% CI 0.36-0.71), with I²=57% and a prediction interval crossing the null (0.18-1.40). Based on a control event rate of 7.8%, absolute risk reduction was 3.8% (38 fewer HSIs per 1000 participants; 95% CI 23-50 fewer). Effects were stronger for shorter interventions (1-6 months; RR = 0.43) than longer interventions (7-10 months; RR = 0.77; P for interaction=0.04), and for elite/semi-professional players (RR = 0.38) than amateur players (RR = 0.77; P for interaction = 0.02). Training frequency and weekly volume did not modify effects, whereas adherence did. High adherence (≥75%) was associated with lower HSI risk (RR = 0.36, 95% CI 0.28-0.48), whereas low adherence (<75%) showed no clear benefit (RR = 0.92, 95% CI 0.68-1.23; P for interaction <0.00001). Each 10% increase in adherence corresponded to an RR multiplier of 0.83 (approximately 17% lower RR). Certainty of evidence was low. CONCLUSION: Exercise-based programmes reduce HSI risk in football when implementation supports sustained adherence. Effects may be stronger in shorter interventions and elite populations, but evidence remains insufficient to differentiate programme types or components.
References
- 1.Gu, J., Li, Y., Wang, Y., & Zhang, Y. (2026). Intervention components, training dose, and adherence in exercise-based prevention of hamstring strain injury in football: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Annals of Medicine. https://doi.org/10.1080/07853890.2026.2652116
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