Research Appraisalother

In Silico Prediction of Potential Bile Salt Export Pump Inhibitors Using Pharmacophore Models and Consensus Machine Learning

Journal of chemical information and modelingSchieferdecker, Sebastian, Wölflingseder, Lydia, Lott, Jasmin11 May 2026DOI

Clinical Snapshot

75CEBM
Evidence: Moderateother

PICO Framework

P — PopulationChemical compounds and drug candidates being evaluated for BSEP inhibition potential
I — InterventionConsensus machine learning classification model with pharmacophore mapping
C — ComparatorIn vitro BSEP inhibition testing (gold standard)
O — OutcomesPrediction accuracy of BSEP inhibitors, model validation against experimental IC50 values

Bottom Line

This computational study presents a machine learning model for predicting BSEP inhibition, a key mechanism in drug-induced liver injury. While the approach shows promise with 73% accuracy in a small validation set, the clinical utility is limited by the small sample size and lack of precision metrics. The model could serve as a useful screening tool in early drug development to prioritise compounds for experimental testing, potentially reducing costs and animal use. However, it should complement, not replace, experimental validation. The 25 μM IC50 threshold aligns with regulatory guidance, making this relevant for pharmaceutical development. Australian drug developers could incorporate this as part of comprehensive hepatotoxicity risk assessment, though validation with larger, more diverse compound sets would strengthen confidence in clinical application.

Evidence: Moderate

Key Findings

  • P Value: Not reported

  • Effect Size: 73% accuracy (8/11 correct predictions)

  • Primary Outcome: BSEP inhibitor prediction accuracy

  • Nnt Or Sensitivity: Sensitivity and specificity not explicitly reported for the validation set

  • Confidence Interval: Not reported

Clinical Application

High feasibility as computational tool requiring minimal resources compared to experimental screening Relevant to TGA drug approval processes and pharmaceutical R&D in Australia; could support early-stage safety assessment before clinical trials Pharmaceutical researchers and drug developers screening for hepatotoxicity risk

Abstract

The ATP-dependent bile salt export pump (BSEP) is a transporter responsible for moving bile salts from hepatocytes into bile canaliculi. Inhibition of BSEP is a known risk factor of cholestatic-drug-induced liver injury (DILI) probably caused by the accumulation of toxic bile salts in the liver. Since DILI is a major cause for attrition during drug development and postmarketing withdrawal or black box warnings, an IC50 of BSEP higher than 25 μM is advised. Here, we describe the investigation of several in silico approaches to map potential BSEP inhibitors. A consensus machine learning classification model is presented, which accurately predicts BSEP inhibitors and can assist in the prioritization of in vitro testing. An applicability domain was derived for the model, and it was validated by in vitro measurements of predicted BSEP inhibitors where the model was able to correctly flag eight out of 11 compounds.

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