Cytokines and immunologic checkpoint molecules in predicting success of allergen immunotherapy.
Clinical Snapshot
PICO Framework
| P — Population | 60 patients with grass and/or birch allergy undergoing allergen immunotherapy |
| I — Intervention | Pre-treatment measurement of 92 cytokines and 14 soluble immunologic checkpoint molecules |
| C — Comparator | Responders versus non-responders to allergen immunotherapy |
| O — Outcomes | Prediction of allergen immunotherapy success using biomarker levels |
Bottom Line
This Swedish cohort study of 60 patients found no evidence that pre-treatment levels of 92 cytokines or 14 immunologic checkpoint molecules can predict success of allergen immunotherapy for grass/birch allergy. Despite sophisticated analytical approaches including machine learning, neither individual biomarkers nor biomarker clusters correlated with treatment response. While the study addresses an important clinical need for AIT response prediction, the negative findings suggest that expensive multiplex biomarker testing is not justified for patient selection. The small sample size and lack of external validation limit generalisability, but the comprehensive biomarker approach and transparent reporting of negative results provide valuable evidence against this predictive strategy. Clinicians should continue relying on established clinical criteria for AIT candidate selection rather than pursuing costly biomarker profiling.
Key Findings
P Value: Not significant (specific values not provided)
Effect Size: No significant correlations identified
Primary Outcome: Prediction of allergen immunotherapy success using pre-treatment biomarker levels
Nnt Or Sensitivity: Clustering algorithms grouped 48/60 subjects into 3 clusters with no clinical correlation
Confidence Interval: Not reported
Clinical Application
Limited - study demonstrates that extensive cytokine and checkpoint molecule profiling does not predict AIT success Relevant to Australian practice where AIT is PBS-subsidised for specific allergens. Results suggest current clinical assessment remains optimal for patient selection rather than expensive biomarker testing Patients with grass and/or birch pollen allergic rhinitis considering allergen immunotherapy
Abstract
There are large variations in how individual patients respond to allergen immunotherapy (AIT) against grass and/or birch allergy. There are currently no reliable biomarkers to predict which patients are likely to benefit from the treatment. The purpose of this study was to examine the potential of cytokine and soluble immunologic checkpoint molecule (ICM) levels as biomarkers for AIT success. Blood samples collected before starting AIT were analyzed for concentration of 92 different cytokines and 14 different ICMs. Traditional univariable statistical analysis was performed to evaluate differences between responders and non-responders. Furthermore, both unsupervised and supervised machine learning algorithms were used for multivariable analysis of differences between the responders and non-responders and to try to identify clusters within the subjects which could potentially be linked to endotypes of allergic rhinitis. Neither univariable nor multivariable analysis showed any significant correlations between AIT outcome and pre-treatment levels of cytokines or soluble ICM. In the cluster analysis, 4 clustering algorithms consistently grouped 48 of the 60 subjects into 3 distinct clusters. However, these clusters did not correlate with clinical characteristics, indicating that the clusters are unlikely to represent actual biological endotypes. The findings of this study did not provide evidence supporting the use of pre-treatment levels of cytokines and ICM as biomarkers for AIT outcome.
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