Characteristics and prognosis of skin cancer arising from burn scars: a systematic review
Clinical Snapshot
PICO Framework
| P — Population | Patients with skin cancer arising from burn scars (Marjolin's ulcer and related malignancies) |
| I — Intervention | Not applicable (descriptive systematic review) |
| C — Comparator | Not applicable (descriptive systematic review) |
| O — Outcomes | Epidemiological characteristics, prognosis, mortality, recurrence rates, metastasis rates, and latency periods |
Bottom Line
This comprehensive systematic review of 830 cases demonstrates that burn scar malignancies, predominantly squamous cell carcinoma, develop after a mean latency of 21.7 years with concerning rates of mortality (6.96%) and recurrence (13.2%). Third-degree burns, particularly to lower limbs, carry highest risk. The aggressive nature of these malignancies, with 12.3% developing metastases, mandates lifelong surveillance protocols for burn survivors. For Australian clinicians, this evidence strongly supports structured long-term follow-up programs in burn services, with particular vigilance for chronic wounds or suspicious changes in mature burn scars. Early recognition and radical initial treatment are crucial given the poor prognosis once malignant transformation occurs. The findings justify investment in specialized burn scar surveillance clinics and support calls for standardized management protocols across burn services.
Key Findings
Effect Size: Not applicable (descriptive review)
Primary Outcome: Mean latency period from burn to cancer diagnosis: 21.7 years (SD = 19.6)
Nnt Or Sensitivity: Mortality rate: 6.96%; Recurrence rate: 13.2%; Metastasis rate: 12.3% (lymph node 7.56% + distant 4.74%)
Confidence Interval: Not reported
Clinical Application
Highly feasible - supports implementation of structured long-term surveillance protocols in burn clinics Directly applicable to Australian burn services; supports ANZBA guidelines for long-term follow-up and could inform PBS-funded surveillance programs for high-risk burn survivors All patients with significant burn injuries, particularly those with third-degree burns to lower limbs
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Burn scars are recognized risk factors for malignant skin transformation, most notably Marjolin's ulcer (MU). Despite extensive documentation in case reports and series, the epidemiological characteristics and prognosis of burn scar-related skin cancers have lacked large-scale systematic synthesis. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review in line with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, registered with PROSPERO (CRD42024545404), covering literature from PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science up to 18 January 2024. Eligible studies included case reports, case series, and observational studies reporting any type of skin cancer in burn scars. Data were extracted on demographics, burn and tumor characteristics, treatment, latency, outcomes, and risk of bias using Joanna Briggs Institute tools. RESULTS: A total of 211 studies reporting 830 cases were included. The mean latency period from burn injury to cancer diagnosis was 21.7 years (SD = 19.6). Males constituted 53% of patients, with third-degree burns predominating (89.37%) and lower limbs being the most affected site (33.59%). Squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) was the most frequent malignancy (67.19%), followed by basal cell carcinoma (BCC, 3.83%) and other cancers (15.33%). Recurrence occurred in 13.2% of cases; mortality was 6.96%. SCC accounted for most deaths (63.8%), while melanoma and sarcoma exhibited high rates of recurrence and mortality. Lymph node metastasis and distant metastasis were found in 7.56 and 4.74% of cases, respectively. CONCLUSION: Skin cancers arising from burn scars, especially SCC, demonstrate aggressive clinical behavior with significant morbidity and mortality. Reduced latency periods and high metastatic potential highlight the importance of vigilant, long-term surveillance and radical initial treatment. This review provides a contemporary benchmark for epidemiological understanding and supports calls for international registries, molecular diagnostics, and standardized management protocols for burn scar malignancies.
References
- 1.Alhadlaq, A., Kereet, I. M., Kamel, B., Jahangir, K., Hamam, N. G., Shehab, M. A., Alamin, M. H., Osman, A. S. A., Rechid, S., Ali, M. A., & Elsaid, M. (2026). Characteristics and prognosis of skin cancer arising from burn scars: a systematic review. Journal of Plastic Surgery and Hand Surgery, 61, Article 45793. https://doi.org/10.2340/jphs.v61.45793
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