Association of Edoxaban Pharmacokinetics With Bleeding in Older Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Treated With Low-Dose Edoxaban: A Post Hoc Analysis of a Randomized Controlled Trial
Clinical Snapshot
PICO Framework
| P — Population | Very old Japanese patients (≥80 years) with atrial fibrillation and high bleeding risk |
| I — Intervention | Edoxaban 15 mg once daily with pharmacokinetic monitoring (trough concentrations and prothrombin time) |
| C — Comparator | Placebo (original trial), quartiles of edoxaban trough concentrations (post hoc analysis) |
| O — Outcomes | Major bleeding incidence, correlation between trough edoxaban concentrations, prothrombin time, and bleeding risk |
Bottom Line
This post hoc analysis of elderly Japanese patients with atrial fibrillation demonstrates a clear relationship between edoxaban exposure and bleeding risk. Patients with trough concentrations >21.6 ng/mL had nearly 6-fold higher bleeding rates compared to those with lowest exposure. Importantly, a simple PT measurement >13 seconds identified patients at highest bleeding risk, offering a practical monitoring tool. However, the analysis has significant limitations: it's a single-arm post hoc study with small numbers, limited to very elderly Japanese patients, and doesn't assess the trade-off between bleeding and stroke prevention. While these findings support the concept of individualized dosing based on drug exposure, they cannot guide therapeutic decisions without efficacy data. The results suggest PT monitoring might help identify patients needing dose adjustment, but this requires prospective validation before clinical implementation.
Key Findings
P Value: P=0.0408 for trend across quartiles; P=0.0060 for PT >13s vs ≤13s
Effect Size: 6-fold increase in bleeding risk from lowest to highest quartile
Primary Outcome: Major bleeding incidence across edoxaban trough concentration quartiles: 0.8%, 1.9%, 3.4%, and 4.7% per year
Nnt Or Sensitivity: PT >13 seconds associated with 4.7-fold higher bleeding rate (4.61% vs 0.98%/year)
Confidence Interval: Not reported for bleeding rates
Clinical Application
PT monitoring is readily available and cost-effective; trough level monitoring requires specialized laboratory facilities Edoxaban 15mg not currently PBS-listed in Australia; standard doses (30mg/60mg) are available. Results may inform TGA considerations for lower doses in elderly populations Elderly patients (≥80 years) with atrial fibrillation on low-dose edoxaban, particularly those with multiple comorbidities
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Edoxaban is a direct oral anticoagulant used for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and treatment of venous thromboembolism. We examined the relationship between trough edoxaban concentrations (E-trough) and prothrombin time (PT) and major bleeding in very old Japanese patients with atrial fibrillation and high bleeding risk. METHODS: In this post hoc analysis of the multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled ELDERCARE-AF (Study of DU-176b Aged 80 Years or Older) trial, patients were randomly assigned 1:1 to edoxaban 15 mg or placebo once daily. After 8 weeks of treatment, E-trough was determined and the incidence of major bleeding examined in each quartile. The incidence of major bleeding by PT was also examined. RESULTS: Data were obtained from 427 patients. E-trough (ng/mL) was ≤9.24 in the first quartile (107 patients), >9.24 to ≤13.6 in the second (111 patients), >13.6 to ≤21.6 in the third (103 patients), and >21.6 in the fourth (106 patients). Older age, lower body weight, lower creatinine clearance, and the presence of congestive heart failure were independent predictors of higher E-trough. Higher E-trough was associated with greater incidence of major bleeding (0.8%, 1.9%, 3.4%, and 4.7%/year, respectively, P=0.0408). There was a significant positive correlation between E-trough and PT (r=0.426, P<0.0001). Significantly more major bleeding events occurred in the longer (>13 seconds) versus shorter (≤13 seconds) PT subgroups (4.61% versus 0.98%/year, P=0.0060). CONCLUSIONS: Several factors were associated with higher E-trough and increased risk of major bleeding events. PT >13 seconds may be a useful predictor of the development of major bleeding. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02801669.
References
- 1.Okumura, K., Akao, M., Fukuzawa, M., Igawa, Y., Hayashi, T., & Yamashita, T. (2026). Association of Edoxaban Pharmacokinetics With Bleeding in Older Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Treated With Low-Dose Edoxaban: A Post Hoc Analysis of a Randomized Controlled Trial. Journal of the American Heart Association. https://doi.org/10.1161/JAHA.125.042950
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