Research AppraisalSystematic Review

Association Between Ambient Temperature and Urolithiasis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Current urology reportsVillanueva-Congote, Juliana, Marin-Urrego, Juan C, Bakbak, Hasim et al.23 May 2026DOI

Clinical Snapshot

70CEBM
Evidence: ModerateSystematic Review

PICO Framework

P — PopulationPatients with urolithiasis or kidney stone-related events across various geographic locations
I — InterventionHigher ambient temperature exposure
C — ComparatorLower ambient temperature periods or baseline temperature conditions
O — OutcomesKidney stone-related events including acute renal colic, emergency department visits, and hospitalizations

Bottom Line

This systematic review and meta-analysis of 46 studies demonstrates a statistically significant association between higher ambient temperatures and increased kidney stone-related presentations (pooled RR 1.31, 95% CI 1.21-1.43). However, the clinical utility is limited by substantial heterogeneity between studies (I²=86.7%) and high risk of bias in most included studies. While the association appears consistent across different outcomes (stone colic, emergency visits, hospitalizations), the wide variation in study methodologies and exposure definitions reduces confidence in the precise effect size. For Australian clinicians, this evidence supports counselling patients with recurrent nephrolithiasis about increased hydration during warmer months, particularly December through March when seasonal peaks occur. The findings may also inform public health messaging about kidney stone prevention during heat waves, though the high-bias nature of the underlying evidence limits definitive practice recommendations.

Evidence: Moderate

Key Findings

  • P Value: Not reported in abstract

  • Effect Size: Pooled relative risk 1.31

  • Primary Outcome: Kidney stone-related events (composite of stone colic, emergency visits, hospitalizations)

  • Nnt Or Sensitivity: Individual study effect estimates ranged from RR 1.10 to 2.54

  • Confidence Interval: 95% CI 1.21-1.43

Clinical Application

Limited direct clinical application due to environmental nature of exposure, but may inform public health strategies Relevant to Australian practice given seasonal patterns noted (December-March peaks), may inform preventive counselling during summer months and hydration advice Patients at risk of kidney stone formation, particularly in regions with high ambient temperatures

Abstract

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The global incidence of urolithiasis has risen in recent decades. Emerging evidence suggests that higher ambient temperatures are linked to an increased risk of kidney-stone-related events, including acute renal colic, likely through physiological mechanisms such as increased urinary calcium excretion and greater supersaturation of calcium oxalate and calcium phosphate. This study aims to systematically review existing evidence on the relationship between ambient temperature and urolithiasis risk. RECENT FINDINGS: Of 892 records identified, 46 studies met the inclusion criteria for the systematic review, and 16 were included in the meta-analysis. Most studies reported a positive association between higher ambient temperatures and increased kidney stone-related events, with seasonal peaks occurring during summer months in the Northern Hemisphere and from December to March in Australia. Considerable heterogeneity was observed in exposure definitions, meteorological data sources, outcome ascertainment, and lag structures. Reported effect estimates ranged from RR 1.10 to 2.54. Meta-analysis showed that higher ambient temperature was associated with an increased risk of urolithiasis presentation (pooled RR 1.31, 95% CI 1.21-1.43; I²=86.7%). Subgroup analyses showed pooled RRs of 1.27 (95% CI 1.18-1.37) for stone colic, 1.33 (95% CI 1.06-1.67) for emergency visits, and 1.36 (95% CI 0.98-1.90) for hospitalizations. Associations were stronger at medium and long lag periods than at short lags. Most studies were rated as high risk of bias, primarily because of confounding and outcome measurement concerns. Sensitivity analyses supported the robustness of the findings. This systematic review highlights an association between higher ambient temperatures and increased presentations for kidney stone disease. Addressing environmental factors may be a valuable strategy for reducing nephrolithiasis incidence.

References

  1. 1.Villanueva-Congote, J., Marin-Urrego, J. C., Bakbak, H., Kottooran, C., Sridhar, R., Marcovich, R., Wollin, D. A., & Eisner, B. H. (2026). Association Between Ambient Temperature and Urolithiasis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Current Urology Reports. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00539-x
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